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The FIRE Exit
Worked exits · Invented on purpose — the person is fiction, the arithmetic is not.

Elena, 45 — Madrid

A consultant who started late and saves like it.

When does one more year stop being worth it?

Elena spends €2,800 a month and saves €3,500 — more than she spends. With €350,000 already invested, she crosses her number in under nine years, in her mid-fifties.

Spends
2,800/mo
Invested
€350k
Saves
€3,500/mo
The number (×30)
€1,008,000

8 yrs 11 mo at 54

The odds their pot dies first

≈0%

run at their exit point, against real market history and mortality tables

Her trap is the opposite one: at her savings rate, 'just one more year' past the number adds about €93,000 — nearly three years of spending — every time. The maths will always argue for one more year. It will never once argue for your time. At 54, the question isn't whether the surplus is real. It's what a year costs.

Run her three endings

My verdict

Elena will hit the number — that part is just arithmetic and discipline, and she has both. Her risk starts the day after: a savings rate like hers makes every extra year absurdly lucrative on paper, and the spreadsheet will never tell her to stop.

So she has to decide the stopping rule now, while it's still cheap to think clearly. The number is the finish line she drew. Crossing it and continuing to run is not a strategy; it's a habit.

Next exit: Jonas & Priya, 36 and 34 — Berlin

Everyone here runs at a deliberately modest 5% real return (after inflation) and a ×30 number — the calculators default to showing you more of the range; drag the sliders yourself. The people are invented, the arithmetic is real, and none of it is advice.

Bring me a challenge.

The Exit Audit, then ninety minutes: a straight verdict, real alternatives with their pros and cons, and your first move. If you want someone to nod along, I’m the wrong person to pay.